Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.004840 0.005469 0.006186 0.007070 0.008142 0.009415 0.011063
2026-01-18 0.003981 0.004774 0.005757 0.007096 0.008915 0.011377 0.015098
2026-01-25 0.003411 0.004243 0.005335 0.006922 0.009259 0.012743 0.018713
2026-02-01 0.002970 0.003791 0.004910 0.006615 0.009284 0.013582 0.021763
2026-02-08 0.002636 0.003431 0.004548 0.006317 0.009226 0.014228 0.024690
2026-02-15 0.002470 0.003282 0.004461 0.006406 0.009789 0.016063 0.030797
2026-02-22 0.002279 0.003076 0.004261 0.006277 0.009939 0.017163 0.035894
2026-03-01 0.002105 0.002876 0.004046 0.006089 0.009937 0.017948 0.040694
2026-03-08 0.001965 0.002715 0.003875 0.005950 0.010000 0.018886 0.046598
2026-03-15 0.001902 0.002668 0.003880 0.006119 0.010702 0.021527 0.060316
2026-03-22 0.001859 0.002646 0.003922 0.006361 0.011609 0.025049 0.081883
2026-03-29 0.001803 0.002599 0.003917 0.006510 0.012343 0.028452 0.109004
2026-04-05 0.001712 0.002495 0.003813 0.006472 0.012700 0.031130 0.140203
2026-04-12 0.001635 0.002409 0.003736 0.006486 0.013202 0.034658 0.190525
2026-04-19 0.001543 0.002291 0.003590 0.006332 0.013237 0.036597 0.237506
2026-04-26 0.001444 0.002156 0.003401 0.006061 0.012901 0.036966 0.271518
2026-05-03 0.001355 0.002031 0.003223 0.005797 0.012534 0.037080 0.306321
2026-05-10 0.001316 0.001991 0.003201 0.005876 0.013170 0.042016 0.472957
2026-05-17 0.001257 0.001913 0.003099 0.005762 0.013207 0.044248 0.626635
2026-05-24 0.001197 0.001829 0.002980 0.005595 0.013047 0.045442 0.787543
2026-05-31 0.001145 0.001759 0.002884 0.005472 0.013006 0.047325 1.057250
2026-06-07 0.001127 0.001746 0.002901 0.005622 0.013903 0.055588 2.444439
2026-06-14 0.001115 0.001746 0.002942 0.005836 0.015098 0.067649 10.383154